Indiana Fever at Seattle Storm
July 28, 2026 · WNBA
TrueTail's lean
Fever wins about 74 times out of 100.
74%
Sim projects a total of 195.7 points.
n=10,000 simulated trials · model wnba-sim-v2
The distribution
TrueTail's sims land on 195 total points most often (2% of simulated outcomes).
Show the math
Win probability: home 26.2%, away 73.8%.
Projected score: home 93.3, away 102.4.
Mean margin (home): -9.0.
Model wnba-sim-v2, n=10,000, computed 7/28/2026, 2:05:32 PM.