Seattle Storm at Atlanta Dream
July 31, 2026 · WNBA
TrueTail's lean
Dream wins about 70 times out of 100.
70%
Sim projects a total of 186.7 points.
n=10,000 simulated trials · model wnba-sim-v2
The distribution
TrueTail's sims land on 186 total points most often (2% of simulated outcomes).
Show the math
Win probability: home 70.0%, away 30.0%.
Projected score: home 96.8, away 89.5.
Mean margin (home): +7.4.
Model wnba-sim-v2, n=10,000, computed 7/31/2026, 2:05:35 PM.