Connecticut Sun at Washington Mystics
July 28, 2026 · WNBA
TrueTail's lean
Mystics wins about 61 times out of 100.
61%
Sim projects a total of 155.3 points.
n=10,000 simulated trials · model wnba-sim-v2
The distribution
TrueTail's sims land on 155 total points most often (2% of simulated outcomes).
Show the math
Win probability: home 61.1%, away 38.9%.
Projected score: home 79.5, away 75.6.
Mean margin (home): +4.0.
Model wnba-sim-v2, n=10,000, computed 7/28/2026, 2:05:32 PM.