Toronto Tempo at Minnesota Lynx
July 28, 2026 · WNBA
TrueTail's lean
Lynx wins about 85 times out of 100.
85%
Sim projects a total of 190.3 points.
n=10,000 simulated trials · model wnba-sim-v2
The distribution
TrueTail's sims land on 190 total points most often (2% of simulated outcomes).
Show the math
Win probability: home 85.3%, away 14.7%.
Projected score: home 102.8, away 87.7.
Mean margin (home): +15.3.
Model wnba-sim-v2, n=10,000, computed 7/28/2026, 2:05:32 PM.