Dallas Wings at Washington Mystics
July 31, 2026 · WNBA
TrueTail's lean
Wings wins about 51 times out of 100.
51%
Sim projects a total of 165.4 points.
n=10,000 simulated trials · model wnba-sim-v2
The distribution
TrueTail's sims land on 164 total points most often (2% of simulated outcomes).
Show the math
Win probability: home 48.9%, away 51.1%.
Projected score: home 82.8, away 83.0.
Mean margin (home): -0.3.
Model wnba-sim-v2, n=10,000, computed 7/31/2026, 2:05:35 PM.