edition VOL. I · NO. 9WEEK OF 2026-07-20 TO 2026-07-26
Market Report
Week of 2026-07-20 – 2026-07-26. Every number below comes straight from our own database.
01 · The week's movers
Moneyline
Joshua Van @ Alexandre Pantoja · Alexandre Pantoja
opened -180, closed -135 (-6.8pt)
Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Pittsburgh Steelers
opened -142, closed -170 (+4.3pt)
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs · Kansas City Chiefs
opened -142, closed -162 (+3.2pt)
Liverpool @ Newcastle United · Newcastle United
opened +175, closed +199 (-2.9pt)
Clemson Tigers @ LSU Tigers · LSU Tigers
opened -480, closed -410 (-2.4pt)
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Jacksonville Jaguars
opened -360, closed -410 (+2.1pt)
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers · Carolina Panthers
opened +114, closed +124 (-2.1pt)
Florida International Panthers @ South Florida Bulls · South Florida Bulls
opened -410, closed -470 (+2.1pt)
Spreads
Memphis Tigers @ UNLV Rebels · UNLV Rebels
opened -3.5, closed -5.5 (-2.0)
Florida Gators @ Auburn Tigers · Auburn Tigers
opened 0, closed -1.5 (-1.5)
USC Trojans @ Penn State Nittany Lions · Penn State Nittany Lions
opened 0, closed -1.5 (-1.5)
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers · Los Angeles Chargers
opened -10.5, closed -11.5 (-1.0)
Sacramento State Hornets @ Eastern Michigan Eagles · Eastern Michigan Eagles
opened -7.5, closed -8.5 (-1.0)
Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions @ Missouri Tigers · Missouri Tigers
opened -53.5, closed -52.5 (+1.0)
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers @ West Virginia Mountaineers · West Virginia Mountaineers
opened -19.5, closed -20.5 (-1.0)
Oregon State Beavers @ Houston Cougars · Houston Cougars
opened -18.5, closed -19.5 (-1.0)
02 · Steam log
Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers · moneyline
120 → 145 (+25) · DraftKings
New York Jets @ Detroit Lions · moneyline
-440 → -425 (+15) · DraftKings
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers · moneyline
425 → 410 (-15) · DraftKings
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers · moneyline
410 → 470 (+60) · DraftKings
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars · moneyline
285 → 320 (+35) · DraftKings
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers · moneyline
470 → 455 (-15) · DraftKings
Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers · moneyline
425 → 410 (-15) · DraftKings
Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens · moneyline
-395 → -410 (-15) · DraftKings
Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins · moneyline
-238 → -258 (-20) · DraftKings
New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans · moneyline
114 → 130 (+16) · DraftKings
Derived retroactively from this week's stored line-move snapshots - steam events themselves are not persisted, so this re-runs the same detector live alerts use over the week's history.
03 · The record, this week
Today's Tails: 86 surfaced this week, 63 graded so far.
61.9% beat the closing line, averaging +8.38% CLV.
10 slips graded this week network-wide, 44% by the machine.
04 · Market miss of the week
No graded favorite lost outright this week.
05 · Sim corner
No sim-vs-market disagreements graded this week.
06 · What's accruing
Coming soon
Our own originated lines are being paper-tracked against the close - this unlocks at n>=100 graded disagreements. No numbers here yet, on purpose.
See the full record, or read the methodology behind it.
Nothing on this page is a pick, and TrueTail accepts no wagers.