Market Report
Week of 2026-07-27 – 2026-08-02. Every number below comes straight from our own database.
01 · The week's movers
Moneyline
Seattle Sounders FC @ Portland Timbers · Portland Timbers
opened +128, closed +222 (-12.8pt)
Citadel Bulldogs @ Charlotte 49ers · Charlotte 49ers
opened -1200, closed -550 (-7.7pt)
St. Louis City SC @ San Jose Earthquakes · San Jose Earthquakes
opened -192, closed -143 (-6.9pt)
Idaho State Bengals @ Utah State Aggies · Utah State Aggies
opened -3000, closed -950 (-6.3pt)
Ciryl Gane @ Tom Aspinall · Tom Aspinall
opened -125, closed -157 (+5.5pt)
Rhode Island Rams @ Temple Owls · Temple Owls
opened -630, closed -450 (-4.5pt)
Maine Black Bears @ Appalachian State Mountaineers · Appalachian State Mountaineers
opened -3000, closed -1300 (-3.9pt)
Lafayette Leopards @ UConn Huskies · UConn Huskies
opened -2300, closed -1200 (-3.5pt)
Spreads
Idaho State Bengals @ Utah State Aggies · Utah State Aggies
opened -23.5, closed -16.5 (+7.0)
Citadel Bulldogs @ Charlotte 49ers · Charlotte 49ers
opened -17.5, closed -12.5 (+5.0)
Lafayette Leopards @ UConn Huskies · UConn Huskies
opened -21.5, closed -17.5 (+4.0)
Duquesne Dukes @ Air Force Falcons · Air Force Falcons
opened -23.5, closed -27.5 (-4.0)
Tennessee State Tigers @ Georgia Bulldogs · Georgia Bulldogs
opened -50.5, closed -46.5 (+4.0)
Maine Black Bears @ Appalachian State Mountaineers · Appalachian State Mountaineers
opened -22.5, closed -18.5 (+4.0)
San Jose State Spartans @ USC Trojans · USC Trojans
opened -35.5, closed -38.5 (-3.0)
Fordham Rams @ North Dakota State Bison · North Dakota State Bison
opened -35.5, closed -38.5 (-3.0)
02 · Steam log
New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions · moneyline
-325 → -310 (+15) · DraftKings
New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens · moneyline
-375 → -360 (+15) · DraftKings
New York Jets @ Detroit Lions · moneyline
-425 → -440 (-15) · DraftKings
New York Jets @ Chicago Bears · moneyline
-395 → -410 (-15) · DraftKings
New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens · moneyline
-360 → -375 (-15) · DraftKings
New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens · moneyline
-375 → -355 (+20) · DraftKings
Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens · moneyline
-470 → -485 (-15) · DraftKings
Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos · moneyline
-375 → -360 (+15) · DraftKings
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers · spread
-1.5 → 1.5 (+3) · DraftKings
Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens · moneyline
-485 → -470 (+15) · DraftKings
Derived retroactively from this week's stored line-move snapshots - steam events themselves are not persisted, so this re-runs the same detector live alerts use over the week's history.
03 · The record, this week
Today's Tails: 37 surfaced this week, 27 graded so far.
63.0% beat the closing line, averaging +2.82% CLV.
6 slips graded this week network-wide, 33% by the machine.
04 · Market miss of the week
No graded favorite lost outright this week.
05 · Sim corner
No sim-vs-market disagreements graded this week.
06 · What's accruing
Coming soon
Our own originated lines are being paper-tracked against the close - this unlocks at n>=100 graded disagreements. No numbers here yet, on purpose.
See the full record, or read the methodology behind it.
Nothing on this page is a pick, and TrueTail accepts no wagers.