Market Report
Week of 2026-08-17 – 2026-08-23. Every number below comes straight from our own database.
01 · The week's movers
Moneyline
Columbus Crew SC @ Nashville SC · Nashville SC
opened -139, closed +1050 (-49.5pt)
Houston Dynamo @ St. Louis City SC · St. Louis City SC
opened -110, closed +430 (-33.5pt)
FC Dallas @ Vancouver Whitecaps FC · Vancouver Whitecaps FC
opened -210, closed -100000 (+32.2pt)
Philadelphia Union @ Austin FC · Austin FC
opened +165, closed +350 (-15.5pt)
Portland Timbers @ Los Angeles FC · Los Angeles FC
opened -250, closed -157 (-10.3pt)
Minnesota United FC @ San Jose Earthquakes · San Jose Earthquakes
opened -110, closed +120 (-6.9pt)
Gregory Rodrigues @ Anthony Hernandez · Anthony Hernandez
opened -164, closed -210 (+5.6pt)
New York City FC @ New England Revolution · New England Revolution
opened +145, closed +123 (+4.0pt)
Spreads
Columbus Crew SC @ Nashville SC · Nashville SC
opened -1.5, closed +0.5 (+2.0)
Colorado Rapids @ San Diego FC · San Diego FC
opened 0, closed -1.5 (-1.5)
Minnesota United FC @ San Jose Earthquakes · San Jose Earthquakes
opened 0, closed -1.5 (-1.5)
New York City FC @ New England Revolution · New England Revolution
opened 0, closed -1.5 (-1.5)
FC Dallas @ Vancouver Whitecaps FC · Vancouver Whitecaps FC
opened -1.5, closed -2.5 (-1.0)
Houston Dynamo @ St. Louis City SC · St. Louis City SC
opened 0, closed +0.5 (+0.5)
Philadelphia Union @ Austin FC · Austin FC
opened 0, closed +0.5 (+0.5)
02 · Steam log
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros · moneyline
201 → 277 (+76) · DraftKings
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros · moneyline
277 → 123 (-154) · DraftKings
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros · moneyline
123 → 299 (+176) · DraftKings
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros · moneyline
299 → 200 (-99) · DraftKings
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros · moneyline
200 → 234 (+34) · DraftKings
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros · moneyline
234 → 435 (+201) · DraftKings
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros · moneyline
435 → 1760 (+1325) · DraftKings
Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies · moneyline
208 → 228 (+20) · DraftKings
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies · moneyline
210 → 230 (+20) · FanDuel
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds · moneyline
100 → 115 (+15) · FanDuel
Derived retroactively from this week's stored line-move snapshots - steam events themselves are not persisted, so this re-runs the same detector live alerts use over the week's history.
03 · The record, this week
Today's Tails: 62 surfaced this week, 60 graded so far.
70.0% beat the closing line, averaging +1.38% CLV.
04 · Market miss of the week
No graded favorite lost outright this week.
05 · Sim corner
No sim-vs-market disagreements graded this week.
06 · What's accruing
Coming soon
Our own originated lines are being paper-tracked against the close - this unlocks at n>=100 graded disagreements. No numbers here yet, on purpose.
See the full record, or read the methodology behind it. Nothing on this page is a pick, and TrueTail accepts no wagers.